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 TeasersMichael Hudson Blogview

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LOGO DAEDALUS: Well, I just wanted to say thank you. First off, your books have been extremely important to me. I’ve done, I think, some good work in helping to popularize them on Twitter or X, I guess we’re calling it these days.

But when I first found your work, I was really coming from more of a literary studies sort of perspective. I studied Russian literature and Russian in college, and was mostly interested in literature, and then slowly became interested in economics, more from a literary perspective.

In your one of your interviews about your biography, you described going into musical composition, classical composition, and then finding a sort of aesthetic satisfaction in the study of economics.

I found that very inspiring personally, because I feel sort of the same way. The appeal to Marx and other political economists like Veblen and guys like that, guys like yourself, was that they gave me the same satisfaction of reading a great novel, especially like a great satirical novel. And that’s been sort of my interest in all of this… how economics is sort of an outgrowth of literary satire, and the genre of the anatomy that people like Northrop Frye would describe. So I think of you as like the greatest living satirist in the world – you make me laugh more than anyone in the whole world. So thank you.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, you understand where my mentality is at.

LOGO DAEDALUS: If there’s any question I could start off with – I’m sure you’re going to cover this in the book you’re working on. I‘ve been a long time follower of your work. So I’m waiting patiently for the next book in the cycle on debt covering the crusades and onward, because that’s a particular interest of mine from a literary perspective on Christian hermeneutics. The translation of the Lord’s Prayer was a major thing for me – the “forgive us our debts” and whatnot. Tying this into material economics really opened all of this up for me.

So I believe you referred to a specific school of the Catholics, men who come up with the justification for charging interest on debts, but under a different name, so it doesn’t qualify as usury. I was wondering if you could go into detail about when specifically you would say this shift happened and under what dispensation?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, funny, you should put the question that way about literary

discussion, because most of the discussions about economics in the 13th and 14th Century – and that’s when the schoolmen were coming up with their justification of interest – the best discussions were all of a literary character, of course, by Dante. I mean Dante describes putting all the usurers back in the seventh circle of hell.

And there was a kind of theme of usurers being put together with the sodomites, in the sense that they said lending is sterile. Lending does not produce an economic return for the borrower. The borrower has pay the interest out of whatever they earn elsewhere.

If it’s the government borrowing money to go wage war, then it has to levy taxes, and this reduces the population. If it’s an individual who borrows from a usurer, then they have to cut back their consumption or lose their property, or lose their economic freedom and fall into debt bondage.

So it’s the literary people that describe this, just like in Greek and Roman history. It’s the literary writers that describe what was happening in the creditor landowning oligarchy that ended up stifling Rome. Also, in the 20th Century it was the literary historians that won the Nobel Literature Prize for writing about antiquity, or were nominated… people like Theodor Mommsen and Guglielmo Ferraro. They were viewed as literary historians.

Economists don’t talk about debt, they don’t talk about finance, they don’t talk about interest, or how it began at all, because it didn’t begin in the private sector. It was the Catholic Church that created and sponsored the first international banking in the 12th and 13th Century. And they sponsored it because the Roman church wanted to essentially take over all of Christianity, and the crusades were waged mainly against Christians.

The official crusade, the first real crusade, was in southern Italy and Sicily by Robert Guiscard. The Catholic Church asked, who are we going to get to kill the Christians that don’t agree with us? Who are we going to get to fight the Germans? The Germans wanted a decent, balanced church without all of the craziness and fighting against everybody who didn’t agree with you. How are we going to fight against the Muslim territories? But most of all, how are we going to fight against Orthodox Christianity, the majority of Christianity. There were five Patriarchates in the 12th Century. Rome was the least important. The most important was Constantinople, then, Antioch, then Alexandria, and then Jerusalem.

Rome was at the nadir in the 9th and 10th Century. The Catholic Church histories call it the pornocracy, because it was basically just the local families of a wealthy Roman suburb called Tusculum that sort of had controlled the church as their own personal set of sinecures for themselves, and they were so corrupt that you had Germans set out to try to reform it.

And then they said, how are we going to get rid of the nepotism and the fact that the Vatican is captured by churches? – basically, so they could find either young women or boys to screw… the utter corruption that you read about these families. They asked, how are we going to make some semblance of Christianity again? And they tried to reform.

Well after them came another reform that wanted to prevent an aristocracy from taking over the Catholic Church and making it a family business. They did not want to let the clergy and popes be married, because if they marry, they’re going to have kids, and if they have kids, they’re going to make them the Pope. That’s what happened from the 9th and the 10th Century in Tusculum. You can find it all on Wikipedia or in the Catholic Church histories. They’re sort of embarrassed.

So that made Western Christianity, Roman Christianity, different from all the other Christian churches that permitted priests to get married.

LOGO DAEDALUS: Yeah, that used to be something you had to do. That was a way of demonstrating that you were invested in the community that you were overseeing.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Sure, and the German reformers wanted to make the Christian church part of society, even playing a role in trade and in the military. They wanted, you know, to have a Christian community. That’s not what ended up happening.

And also, the Roman church wanted to introduce this theory of the the Trinity that basically said Jesus wasn’t the Son of God, he wasn’t a human being, and he nothing to do with being a political or social leader, or leading opposition to the creditor class. It was all about God.

And the Catholic Church basically had been poisoned in the 4th and 5th Century by two of the most evil theologians in history, Cyril of Alexandria, who based the Christian church on anti-semitism because he wanted to drive out all of the Christians who weren’t under his personal control. And most early Christians were Jewish. So he led pogroms against the Jews in addition to killing Hypatia, who was a mathematician, and he put in the Trinity idea and elevated the Virgin Mary to the Trinity, knowing that that’s the one thing the Jews were not going to go along with because they wouldn’t have a woman as part of the Trinity.

 
Donald Trump’s Distorted View of America’s Tariff History

Donald Trump’s tariff policy has thrown markets into turmoil among his allies and enemies alike. This anarchy reflects the fact that his major aim was not really tariff policy, but simply to cut income taxes on the wealthy, by replacing them with tariffs as the main source of government revenue. Extracting economic concessions from other countries is part of his justification for this tax shift as offering a nationalistic benefit for the United States.

His cover story, and perhaps even his belief, is that tariffs by themselves can revive American industry. But he has no plans to deal with the problems that caused America’s deindustrialization in the first place. There is no recognition of what made the original U.S. industrial program and that of most other nations so successful.

That program was based on public infrastructure, rising private industrial investment and wages protected by tariffs, and strong government regulation. Trump’s slash and burn policy is the reverse – to downsize government, weaken public regulation and sell off public infrastructure to help pay for his income tax cuts on his Donor Class.

This is just the neoliberal program under another guise. Trump misrepresents it as supportive of industry, not its antithesis. His move is not an industrial plan at all, but a power play to extract economic concessions from other countries while slashing income taxes on the wealthy. The immediate result will be wide-spread layoffs, business closures and consumer price inflation.

Introduction

America’s remarkable industrial takeoff from the end of the Civil War through the outbreak of World War I has always embarrassed free-market economists. The United States’ success followed precisely the opposite policies from those that today’s economic orthodoxy advocates. The contrast is not only that between protectionist tariffs and free trade. The United States created a mixed public/private economy in which public infrastructure investment was developed as a “fourth factor of production,” not to be run as a profit-making business but to provide basic services at minimal prices so as to subsidize the private sector’s cost of living and doing business.

The logic underlying these policies was formulated already in the 1820s in Henry Clay’s American System of protective tariffs, internal improvements (public investment in transportation and other basic infrastructure), and national banking aimed at financing industrial development. An American School of Political Economy emerged to guide the nation’s industrialization based on the Economy of High Wages doctrine to promote labor productivity by raising living standards and public subsidy and support programs.

These are not the policies that today’s Republicans and Democrats advise. If Reaganomics, Thatcherism and Chicago’s free-market boys had guided American economic policy in the late nineteenth century, the United States would not have achieved its industrial dominance. So it hardly is surprising that the protectionist and public investment logic that guided American industrialization has been airbrushed out of U.S. history. It plays no role in Donald Trump’s false narrative to promote his abolition of progressive income taxes, downsizing of government and privatization sell-off of its assets.

“What Trump singles out to admire in America’s nineteenth-century industrial policy is the absence of a progressive income tax and the funding of government primarily by tariff revenue.”

What Trump singles out to admire in America’s nineteenth-century industrial policy is the absence of a progressive income tax and the funding of government primarily by tariff revenue. This has given him the idea of replacing progressive income taxation falling on his own Donor Class – the One Percent that paid no income tax prior to its enactment in 1913 – with tariffs designed to fall only on consumers (that is, labor). A new Gilded Age indeed!

In admiring the absence of progressive income taxation in the era of his hero, William McKinley (elected president in 1896 and 1900), Trump is admiring the economic excess and inequality of the Gilded Age. That inequality was widely criticized as a distortion of economic efficiency and social progress. To counteract the corrosive and conspicuous wealth-seeking that caused the distortion, Congress passed the Sherman Anti-Trust Law in 1890, Teddy Roosevelt followed with his trust busting, and a remarkably progressive income tax was passed that fell almost entirely on rentier financial and real estate income and monopoly rents.

Trump thus is promoting a simplistic and outright false narrative of what made America’s nineteenth century policy of industrialization so successful. For him, what is great is the “gilded” part of the Gilded Age, not its state-led industrial and social-democratic takeoff. His panacea is for tariffs to replace income taxes, along with privatizing what remains of the government’s functions. That would give a new set of robber barons free reign to further enrich themselves by shrinking the government’s taxation and regulation of them, while reducing the budget deficit by selling off the remaining public domain, from national park lands to the post office and research labs.

Key policies that led to America’s successful industrial takeoff

Tariffs by themselves were not enough to create America’s industrial takeoff, nor that of Germany and other nations seeking to replace and overtake Britain’s industrial and financial monopoly. The key was to use the tariff revenues to subsidize public investment, combined with regulatory power and above all tax policy, to restructure the economy on many fronts and shape the way in which labor and capital were organized.

The main aim was to raise labor productivity. That required an increasingly skilled labor force, which required rising living standards, education, healthy working conditions, consumer protection and safe food regulation. The Economy of High Wages doctrine recognized that well educated, healthy and well fed labor could under-sell “pauper labor.”

The problem was that employers always have sought to increase their profits by fighting against labor’s demand for higher wages. America’s industrial takeoff solved this problem by recognizing that labor’s living standards are a result not only of wage levels but of the cost of living. To the extent that public investment financed by tariff revenues could pay the cost of supplying basic needs, living standards and labor productivity could rise without industrialists suffering a fall in profit.

The main basic needs were free education, public health support and kindred social services. Public infrastructure investment in transportation (canals and railroads), communications and other basic services that were natural monopolies was also undertaken to prevent them from being turned into private fiefdoms seeking monopoly rents at the expense of the economy at large. Simon Patten, America’s first professor of economics at its first business school (the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania), called public investment in infrastructure a “fourth factor of production.”* Unlike private-sector capital, its aim was not to make a profit, much less maximize its prices to what the market would bear. The aim was to provide public services either at cost or at a subsidized rate or even freely.

 
Interview with Jackson Hinkle

JH: Welcome back to Legitimate Targets, everybody. I hope you’re all having a great day. We have got a very special guest. I think probably the guest that I’ve been most excited to ever talk to on this show. Michael Hudson, the famed economist, is joining us today. Of course, many of you probably know his amazing book, Super Imperialism. He’s got many others that I suggest you check out if you want to learn about how the U.S. operates as a global hegemon and how they arrived at this position, and also the history of the global banking cartels, finance capital, the power of debt and how debt has been used. As well as the cancellation of debt as a form of liberation for people throughout history and much more. Michael Hudson, if you are not familiar with him, is a distinguished research professor at the University of Missouri, Kansas City, and a researcher at the Levy Economics Institute at Bard College. He’s got a very, very long and interesting career you can read about. Michael has a relatively short autobiography you can read about on his website, he’s done private sector, consulting, economics, worked as a professor throughout his career, and even written skits for Saturday Night Live. So he’s a man of many talents, and I’m happy to have him here with me today. So without further adieu, Michael Hudson, thank you so much for joining me today.

MH: Well, thanks for having me.

JH: Yes. To start off with just to go big picture, who do you believe controls the world today? Do you think it is private capitalists or do you think it’s the United States, specifically the state apparatus itself?

MH: If only there was some central control over the market, it would be so easy to go to them and explain what to do.

But there are many, many different layers at work here. For instance, it used to be for almost a century that the role of the stock market, which you asked about, is to finance new companies. Banks don’t lend money to build factories or create capital. That’s supposed to be the job of the stock market issuing stocks. Well, for the last few decades, the number of stocks have shrunk because private capital has taken them over.

In other words, very wealthy firms have made so much money by un-taxing themselves and money in the stock market and real estate and capital gains, that they’ve said, well, we’re going to use our own money, and we’re going to borrow money from the banks to bail out firms. In other words, we’ll offer to buy out all of the stockholders.

We’ll make a tender offer. This began in the 1980’s and private capital firms, beginning with the junk bond movement of the 1980’s, have begun to buy out firms. So there are fewer and fewer stocks every year. Well, you have pension funds that are required by their articles of agreement that they have to buy stocks. So all of this money is sort of a carved out thing.

So there is one group of firms on Wall Street that manage buyers, that manage the stock market buying, especially now that you have indexed stocks. So you go to a firm and you say, I want to buy a stock – Vanguard, for instance, or any of the others. You say, “just give me an index for

the Standard & Poor’s 500, or for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.” And they don’t really pick. When I went to work on Wall Street in the 1960s, the whole idea of stock analysis was you pick the stocks that are going up. And of course, most people pick the military stocks because of the Vietnam War. And there’s one thing that you can make enormous profits on for the last 50 years: military stocks. So, they would go up. Aerodynamic stocks, technology stocks, you’d have a boom, then you’d have the smaller companies on Wall Street, they’re the pump and dump companies. They’d make new issues on, you know, very small offerings. They’d organize a kind of mafia, very much like what Trump organized a few months ago when he started his cryptocurrencies, Trump Currency and Melania currency.

They whole group of financial gangsters, would put up their money, bid up the stock. Then, people would think, “oh, whoa, some of this stock is going up!” They’d buy it, bid it up. And then the operators, the manipulators, would dump the stock and it would collapse. And all of the people who bought on the way up would collapse. So that’s one layer.

So, you have private capital, borrowing to buy firms, and they have done so with borrowed money from the banks. You have the investment banks that are deciding who to lend money to for who can make the most money in the financial markets. You have the stock brokerage firms. You can see there are many layers here and they’ve all sort of got together with the Federal Reserve.

And ever since the Obama junk mortgage crisis, the Federal Reserve says, “well, our loyalty is to the banking system.” The banks, in 2009, when Obama took the presidency, most of the big investment banks on Wall Street were broke because they’d made junk mortgages that all turned out to be junk. That’s why they were called junk mortgages. And the Federal Reserve spent the next few decades lowering interest rates in order to enable new speculators to buy stocks, buy companies and take them over at almost a 0.1% interest.

And if a company was paying dividends to 4%, 5%, you could borrow at 0.1% and make a huge profit. So you’ve had the most active people in the stock market, in the last decade or so, be the private capital companies that have gone deeply into debt to buy these firms with such high debt leverage that if the sales of these firms go down even a little bit, then all of a sudden they wiped out their equity and they don’t have any equity.

And they do what real estate owners did when the price of their property fell. Like what Trump did: you walk away from it and you leave the banks with the loss. So the banks are big players in this because the banks have been putting up the money for speculators to buy stocks. And the stocks prices have gone so far above the historic rates.

In other words, there’s a certain capitalization of earnings. It’s called the price to earnings ratio. You look at the earnings for a firm, and what is the price earnings ratio. Is it eight? nine? It’s gone way off the charts in the last year. So just at the point that Trump announced his tariffs last week, you had a vastly over-priced stock market.

And a lot of people like Warren Buffett said he’d sold out stocks completely. A lot of conspicuous big private investors with their own funds and companies sold out. They said, well, if there’s any kind of an economic downturn like a depression, then these companies are going to go broke. And if the companies are going to go broke, what’s going to happen to the banks that have lent these companies the money to buy stocks that now, no longer are worth enough to cover the amount of money they owe?

 
• Category: Economics, Foreign Policy • Tags: BRICs, Donald Trump, Tariff, Wall Street 

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi, everybody. Today is Thursday, April 3rd, 2025, and our friends, Michael Hudson and Richard Wolfer back with us. Welcome back. Let’s talk about the Liberation Day and the new tariffs on each and every country on this planet. And here is what the press secretary, the White House press secretary said about the tariffs. They’re not going to be wrong. It is going to work.

Video Link

[clip_end]

Speaker 2: And the president has a brilliant team of advisors who have been studying these issues for decades. And we are focused on restoring the golden age of America and making America a manufacturing superpower. And again, Peter, I would point you to the investments that have already trickled into this country.

[clip_end]

NIMA ALKHORSHID: And yeah, let’s let’s put the main question right now is what is the main economic fallacy that President Trump is perpetuating regarding the U.S. trade deficit? Michael, go ahead.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the fallacy is the way in which he’s calculated his statistics. And the fallacy is somehow that tariffs are going to re-industrialize the United States. The way that he’s structured them, he has not taken into account that a very large share of U.S. imports are from foreign affiliates of American firms. And these affiliates, all of a sudden, that have made foreign investments and not only in Canada and Mexico, but in Asia and Vietnam and other countries, are now going to have their costs very sharply increased. The result of the tariffs are actually going to be causing, as we’ve discussed before, vast instability and destabilization. I think Richard and I have talked in two of your shows about tariffs. And the fact is, I don’t think we expected this to happen. We thought that the United States, like other countries, were going to act in its self-interest. And, of course, you realize that this self-interest is that of the corporate elite and the big financial investors in Trump’s donor class. But they didn’t expect any of this either. And that’s the big surprise. The stock market yesterday actually rules throughout the day, as people thought, well, he can’t really mean it. And this plunge so quickly after a speech. And this morning, it continued to plunge. It opened with the Standard & Poor’s down 4%, and the Dow Jones losing, I’m sorry, 1,500 points by 3.5%. These are gigantic plunges, and Japan was hit even harder. So now we know why he timed his announcements to 4 p.m. That’s when the stock market closed. If TV viewers of his talk were able to see it during stock market hours, they’d see him talking on the one hand, and the split screen would show the stock market plunging. In other words, this is big capital. This is the corporate sector. This is what the bulk of investors think the effect is going to be on the stock market, and they think it’s a disaster. There’s been, I don’t know how much money’s been wiped out just in the first hour of trading, but it’s been gigantic. So this shows the degree to which corporations and investors thought, well, this is all bluster. And in a way, I think it is bluster. And we’ve seen that by what’s happened with what Trump has been talking about for the last month, and that’s the tariffs on Canada and Mexico. He, if you look at the tariffs, the threats that he had, 25% tariffs, he’s backed down on just about everything. He, the mainstream press, you know, is talking about a Mar-a-Lago accord of a new plaza accord, referring to the 1985 agreement with Japan that ended up pushing that economy into 30 years’ depression. But that was part of a negotiated G7 agreement, where the U.S. brought everybody together. But this is different. Trump is acting unilaterally, and his strategy is to divide and conquer. He’s going to negotiate with each country separately and agree to soften his tariff if they give America something of value. For instance, in China, I’m sure he wants to say, you’ve got to sell TikTok to U.S. investors. You’ve got to do whatever the neocons are insisting that he tells them to do. So the right to buy out any key industry or real estate is what other countries are doing. Basically, what Trump did yesterday is these disruptions that he’s threatening are so large that he’s going to destabilize other countries unless they give in to what turns out to be a shakedown. I just want to talk about the details of Canada because they’re not, they were not made clear yesterday. He’s left out, he’s already said, well, in terms, there’s not going to be a tariff on auto parts, at least until May 3rd. That’s a month from now. So, and there’s going to be a partial exemption for cars made in Mexico and Canada that meets the terms of the NAFTA agreement. After all, there’s been a huge breakdown in all of this on vehicles. He’s only going to try to tax the foreign made parts that are in these vehicles, but that’s still a threat. And the question is whether this is going to prevent General Motors, which has a very large proportion of its autos made in Mexico and Canada for the auto parts. Is this going to prevent them from making a profit? And suppose it looks like the head of General Motors may have called Trump in the last month and said, look, if you’re going to impose the tariffs the way you threaten to do, then we’re not going to be able to make a profit.

And if we’re not able to make a profit, what are we going to do? Are we going to lay off the labor force? Suppose Mr. Trump, that I, head of GM, went to and threatened to make a public announcement, we’re putting GM up for sale. There’s no way we can make a profit any longer under the way in which Trump did the profit, the tariffs. We’re going to tell our labor, we may have to lay you off.

Maybe a foreign auto company will want to buy us, but we’re being prevented from making a profit unless we raise the price of American cars so high that Americans can’t afford it as the economy is moving into the depression that Trump is driving it into. We’ll have no recourse to do that, and other industries may follow suit. Look at Apple in China. It’s another multinational company importing the parts for its iPhones and computers. One hundred percent of U.S. oil imports are made by U.S. oil companies. The same is true of much of the mineral trade. So the question is, why aren’t U.S. corporate leaders speaking up more verbally than they have? You remember back in the 60s, General Motors famous head Charlie Wilson said, what’s good for General Motors is good for the country. Well, the new motto is, what Donald Trump says is good for the country is bad for General Motors. It’s still going to be one of the hardest auto companies hit because of its proportion abroad. So where is the power elite in all of this?

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Richard, it seems that Donald Trump believes that the deficit is the outcome of unfair trade practices. But in your opinion, does trade deficit reflect a country spending more than it produces or saving less than it invests?

RICHARD WOLFF: Okay, there’s so much noise and chaos around this that we are in danger. And that may be Mr. Trump’s area of wisdom, manipulating the noise level and distractions and claims. You know, you made a joke, and I understand it, about Liberation Day. But that’s a very important part of the story he wants us to come away with.

NIMA ALKHORSHID: So we can go at it in a number of ways.

 

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi, everybody. Today is Thursday, March 13, 2025, and our friends, Michael Hudson and Richard Wolff, are back with us. Welcome back.

Video Link

RICHARD WOLFF: Thank you. Glad to be here.

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Let’s get started with the negotiations between, the first round of negotiations, between the Trump team, the Trump administration, and the Ukrainians. The conclusion of this discussion were a 30-day ceasefire proposed by the United States to the Russians.

Michael, how do you find the way that Donald Trump is trying to manage the situation, considering Ukraine?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, it looks on the surface like a complete about-face by Trump. The whole proposal for a ceasefire seems so bizarre and so out of place that it doesn’t make any sense on the surface.

A ceasefire enables armies to retreat. And England and France have said they’re going to send in peacekeepers. And Lavrov had said peacekeepers are from the country that says Russia is our existential enemy and wants to destroy it. Their kind of peacekeepers is to fight Russia to move up to the current line so as to prevent Russia, after the one-month ceasefire is over, from continuing its movement to settle the whole peace agreement on the battlefield. That’s what wars do. They settle the problems on the battlefield.

And there’s no need for a ceasefire to have negotiations. During World War II, during every war, as the war is coming to an end, there are six months, maybe a year, of negotiations. What are we going to do? How do we prepare for the peace?

Somehow, the newspapers have followed something that seems to be orchestrated, as if there can’t be any solution to the war without a ceasefire, and negotiations and discussions go together. And that’s just silly. That’s not what happens.

And what does a month mean for a ceasefire? Maybe Putin can say, well, give us a month. Well, all right, maybe four months and we’ll achieve peace. We’ll finish the military operation. It’ll all be over in four months. So we’re going to give you peace. But a ceasefire would simply stretch out the fighting. We want to end it. Let our army just go on. And we will arrange a kind of peace that will really be lasting, not just setting up Europe versus Russia kind of antagonism.

And Lavrov had a long discussion with Napolitano’s group that’s been all over the internet. And Lavrov said, Why should we agree to a peacemaking force of some kind of peacemaking group if they want such a force to consist of countries that have declared us as an enemy? Well, will they really come as peacekeepers?

So even the facts are unclear. I don’t know whether Trump really stopped sending arms to Ukraine. Because a few days ago, yesterday, Russia sent new missiles to bomb a second ship that was delivering new arms to Odessa, and blew it up. So somebody’s sending arms.

And then when you have the drone attack on Moscow, somebody must have been steering the drones from the satellite. And Trump says, Well, we’ve turned off the satellite information. We’re not giving it to Ukraine.

But then if America’s part of the Five Eyes and England is into the Five Eyes, not to mention Canada, maybe England is sending the information to Ukraine.

So the question is, any agreement that is made with Trump somehow leaves Europe out and Trump can say, Oh, okay, the Russians stopped fighting, but the Europeans, oh, that’s a separate thing. We can’t control them. They’re doing what we want.

So the question is, what is really happening? What is Trump’s strategy?

Well, Alistair Crook thinks that Trump really hates war and wants to create a world without war and free for big business to do what Richard and I talked last week about, to establish a right-wing government, business government, throughout the world in making money in peace.

But there’s no indication of whether Trump really wants peace or not. I’m sure that Trump wants to fight against the CIA and the neocons who were fighting him in 2016 and in 2020 and even in this last 2024 election.

I’m sure he wants to get rid of his enemies in the deep state, and that means stopping the war.

So why would he have made a proposal to Russia that Russia cannot possibly accept, except on terms of surrender? That’s the question that we have to ask, and it just doesn’t make sense.

Didn’t Tulsi or some other advisors tell him this is a no-go? The Russians want to defuse the Cold War, but not let Ukraine just rearm and keep it going.

And the subsequent follow-up by Trump and Rubio shows that, well, what they want, peace, and peace is preventing Russia from re-invading Europe like it did in 1945. Peace is this fantasy that somehow Europe has to defend itself against Russia invading Europe.

As we’ve discussed before, Russia has no motivation to do that, and the cost of any country invading another is so great that no country can afford it and survive any kind of election.

So maybe we’ve all been had, if we take Trump’s word, his word. It turns out that his sort of grandstand promised to bring peace in Ukraine, well, it turns out there are different kinds of peace. There’s a belligerent peace of defeating Russia, and there’s the Russian peace of defeating Nazism in Ukraine. Which is it going to be?

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Richard?

RICHARD WOLFF: Yeah, I noticed, I won’t repeat what Michael said, there’s no need. Let me point to a few other things I find remarkable here. Number one, will a ceasefire, even if you have one? I noticed that in the same statements that Rubio, Waltz and the others made coming out of the negotiation, in the same statement about a ceasefire, was the statement that they are resuming providing them with intelligence and arms and everything that was suspended. Well, what kind of a ceasefire would that even be then? Would they continue? They didn’t even say that in the event of a ceasefire, they would continue to, not at all. They said, we want a ceasefire, and we have resumed. What? You know, and that’s not a minor matter to be negotiated later.

If you mean a ceasefire, then you would require, A) that the United States commit to not providing more material during the period of the ceasefire, and you would probably make a demand on the Europeans, à la what Mark, Michael was saying, to do the same. Otherwise, this is a shell game. This is, this is foolery. This is not serious. And that’s a lapsus that makes me very suspicious, also, about what exactly, what is showing here, what is a theater, and what is a reality. Second, this is a bizarre situation. There’s a war between Ukraine and Russia. A negotiation would then be between Ukraine and Russia. We now have a three-way. This is like going on a really important date with your beloved and somebody else. It’s not a question of who the other one is. It’s a question about either this is a date or it isn’t, but it isn’t three, unless what you have in mind is quite different from what I have in mind, you know, etc, etc. So the United States is playing a very bizarre role.

And then the final thing for me is, it’s even more bizarre, because both of the others, Mr. Zelensky, fifty times in the last two years, has said he doesn’t want [a] ceasefire. And Lavrov and Putin, and Peskov, their spokesperson, have said the same thing. They don’t want a ceasefire. And they said it repeatedly over the last… so we have two sides committed to no ceasefire being brought together by the United States, which wants a ceasefire. They’re, very bizarre situation. At least, I’m no historian of negotiations, but I find all of this very, very bizarre.

 

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi, everybody. Today is Thursday, March 6, 2025, and our friends Richard Wolff and Michael Hudson are back with us. Welcome back.

RICHARD WOLFF: Glad to be here.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Good to be here.

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NIMA ALKHORSHID: Let’s get started, Michael, with the article in the Financial Times in which it says that three European countries, France, England, and Germany, had announced that they will make any agreement reached between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin inoperative. What does that mean, Michael?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, it means two things. For one thing, they want to re-arm the Eurozone, basically.

You had a few days ago, Starmer in England coming out and saying, we’ve got to grab as much of the $300 billion that the EU has seized from Russia and spend it on arms. And Starmer said, this can be a revival of English, British industry. He says, we’re going to send a big chunk of it to Belfast to the British military industrial complex to begin making arms.

Macron now has said, well, we’re going to send it to France. The Germans say, we’re going to send it to Mertz, who said, we’re going to spend it in Germany.

And the Germans and Europeans have made military spending exempt from the Eurozone restriction that running a budget deficit be limited to just 5% or less of GDP. They say, all limits are off. We’re going to have a militarized economy.

And the article you cite is a very bellicose article by Ganesh saying, Europe must trim welfare to fund warfare. Well, the Europeans today, just after he wrote the article, which already was posted yesterday, said, No, no, we don’t have to cut welfare. We can do it both. Military is our new welfare. It’s going to be employing Europeans that will lead to a revival.

And the result is that today the bond market in Germany crashed by about 5%. When the bond prices go down, that means interest rates are going way up because the bondholders say, this is going to be very inflationary.

If Germany announced it’s going to increase its military spending from under 2% to 3.5%, the economy itself is going to be shrinking 1% a year. This means that the non-military part of the economy is going to shrink very rapidly by about 5%. It means unemployment. It means cutbacks.

And the Financial Times put a happy face on all of this in its editorial page. There are editorials all over the place on this saying, No, the reason that interest rates are going up is European executives and industrialists are so happy that we’re now going to have a military revival, that they’re all borrowing money to invest in the new prosperity that we’re going to make by providing the arms to give to Ukraine. And they say the virtue of this is that it makes any agreement that Trump may make with President Putin of Russia inoperable. Because the whole idea of what Trump was trying to do,his fantasy was that somehow Putin and Lavrov and the Russians will say, all right, we’ll do, we’ll make the same mistake now that we made last time when we had an agreement that there will be disarmament and will stop the hostilities while you move in all of your military forces to make sure that you can attack us and just pretend to actually have peace while you’re actually planning to attack us.

And the Europeans say that’s just exactly what we’re going to do. And we’re announcing that we’re going to do it so that there will be no chance that Russia can ever say, yes, we agree to a cessation of hostilities.

Well, that means that Trump will not get the public relations push that he’d been promising. And it’s as if, if you look at the last 200 years, you’ve had three bellicose European countries attack Russia. You had Napoleon in 1812, he lost in the Battle of Borodino. You had England in the Crimean War. It lost in 1853. The 500s rode into the guns and gloriously died for their country. And then you had Hitler in Germany in 1945. You know, that failed.

But the Europeans together with the European Union leader, von der Leyen, and the crazy Estonian lady [Kaja Kallas] said, it’s true that all three of us lost to Russia. But if we all do it together, we can win. And we can win without the United States.

And so the question is, how are they going to get the money to do it? And there’s some of the countries are blocking the loosening of the limitation on how large a budget deficit can be. Hungary and other countries are doing it.

And so there’s renewed pressure from the United States to grab the $300 billion that the European Union has sequestered from Russia.

Now, one of the discussions between [Trump] and Putin that have been openly discussed is that any agreement that, you know, we’re going to talk about the settlement, that you have to drop the sanctions against Russia, you have to give us back the act of war that Europe and the United States have done by confiscating the $300 billion in foreign reserves we have.

And the French especially are arguing, with the English. The French are saying, well, it’s a really, really, it’s, this breaks all of the international laws, and nobody’s going to agree to keep their foreign reserves in euros anymore, if they see that we can do it.

Well, today, as I said, the Financial Times, not only Ganesha’s article, but the American advisor, Philip Gordon, to the Biden administration, the National Security Administrator, said, you know, that’s not, that’s not, that’s not the case at all. Of course, we can, we have the right to do it. And we can tie it up in international law, we can say that international law, this is a response to, to Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

So we’re back with this whole false narrative that’s underlying, the European policy and the European press, the Guardian in England, and I’m sure the French and the German press are also behind all of this revival.

So giving this money to Ukraine means giving it to the European and American military industrial complex to essentially rearm.

Well, what’s goofy here is that how long, how long is it going to take to produce these arms to give to Ukraine, we’re talking about a three to four-year period of actually turning this money into actual arms. Well, obviously, it can’t be done.

And well, President Trump is pressing for a very fast resolution. He wants to arrange to go to Russia to meet with Putin as quick as possible so that he can say, we have a win. And maybe people will look at that instead of looking at Israel and Gaza. We have a win.

He will hear from Russia saying, well, I know you want it quickly, don’t worry. We are going to make an agreement very quickly. There’s almost universal agreement in the European and American press that the fighting in Ukraine cannot go more than two to four months longer without the Ukrainian army being totally defeated and Russia going right up to the Dnieper River in Ukraine and along the sea-coast to Odessa.

Well, you can see how Trump has already said, well, we’ve just made what we call a rare earth agreement with Ukraine. Well, it’s not about rare earth at all. It’s about the ports, and there’s one port in particular, Odessa, which would be turned over to the United States. And it’s about the gas pipelines and the infrastructure.

 

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi, everybody. Today is Thursday, February 27, 2025 and our friends Richard Wolff and Michael Hudson are back with us. Welcome back.

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RICHARD WOLFF: Thank you. Glad to be here.

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Let’s get started with what’s going on in Germany. People wanted some sort of change in terms of domestic and foreign policies of Germany. They ended up with the same sort of policies. New names got the same sort of policies. How did you find the changes in Germany? Let’s get started with Richard.

RICHARD WOLFF: All right. Here’s the things that struck me, that the three parties that represent in my mind, the conventional German political establishment, that is the conservatives, which is an alliance between basically Northern Germany and Southern Germany, the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Socialist Union. All those words have lost whatever meaning they once had anyway, but they are the conservatives more or less. If you want to think from an American perspective, you might call them the Republican Party or even the Republican and centrist Democratic collection of people who have been used to for a long time exchanging the role of who’s the president, who’s the second in command. But it is musical chairs and most people, including most Germans, long ago lost interest. They were the government under Mr. Schultz, who’s now gone. But as you rightly suggest, it’s the same people, it’s the same program, the same parties, slightly different, and I mean slightly different faces. And the interesting thing about them is if you put them together, the Christian Democratic Union, the Christian Socialist Union, the Social Democrats, and the Greens, we need to remind people that in Germany the Greens have none of the left-wing aroma that Greens in other parts of the world cultivate and want to have. The German Greens split years ago, and the people who have been green ever since are very much eager to be parts of the government run by the conservatives and the social Democrats. So they really belong together.

And the interesting thing is over the last four or five years since the last federal election in Germany, all three of those parties lost dramatically. Huge portions of their voting base abandoned them. That’s what we just learned from last Sunday’s election.

Who picked up? Basically, and this is so important because it’s so similar to what is happening in other Western capitalist countries. The voters who left the old coalition were not enough to bump them from power. That’s why we’re seeing the same old, same old again with a couple of new faces. Frederick Mertz and instead of Olaf Scholz. Okay, but not much difference when it comes to it. So they still had enough, roughly half the vote in Germany, roughly, to be a government. Okay, so that’s why we’re going to see, in all likelihood, a government of the Christian Democrats, the Socialists, and the Greens, which is what we had before. But they all lost votes, the Greens particularly, but all of them. And those votes either went to the right with the Alternative für Deutschland, English translation, Alternative for Germany, which is a right-wing party that is remarkable in three ways. As a political program, other than getting, being hostile towards immigrants, they don’t really offer all that much. Number two, they have inherited the Nazi left, whatever’s left of Nazism in Germany finds its way into that party, or at least a large part of it does. And the third interesting thing about that party is that it is overwhelmingly based in the eastern part of Germany. In other words, in that part of Germany, that used to be a separate country, East Germany. And that was only unified a relatively short time ago. Those people were all involved, basically, in something called the Socialist Unity Party, which was the old Communist Party of eastern Germany. And that’s gone, or largely gone. And these people have felt in the east that they were very much misled about the unification of Germany. Very important to understand. They were led to believe that by unifying, East Germany would enjoy the standards of living and all the rest of it, that West Germany had reached. But that we all have to remember, West Germany was given enormous financial support, because it was crucial to the West, in the aftermath of World War II, to isolate Western Europe from the infection of Socialism and Communism. I want to remind people, after World War II, the first government of General Charles de Gaulle in France had several members of the Communist Party in the Cabinet of France. That’s how powerful they were. The backbone of the resistance to the Nazis in places like France, and Italy, and elsewhere, were communists and socialists. And so they emerged from World War II with a level of popular support that frightened people in the West. Just like the fact that Russia was crucial to winning World War II frightened people in the West. So they pumped a lot of money into Western Germany, giving it the ability to make a politics that said, “Hey, you guys in Eastern Germany, you may have communism and socialism and, you know, guaranteed childcare and all the rest of it, but we have a higher standard of living.” Which they did. I mean, they did. And the Easterners then believed, after decades of propaganda, that if they unified with the West, they would become, like West Germany, rich, comfortable, at least relative to other working classes and relative to themselves.

If I had time, I’d talk to you about East Germany. It had a very hard time after World War II, because it was part of the Eastern European Soviet bloc. And yet, inside Russia, there was understandable hostility towards Germany, which had subjected the Russians to an unspeakable destruction during World War II. People should know more Germans died, excuse me, more Russians died than any other nationality. That’s how bad that war was. So helping East Germany was not a high priority inside the Soviet Union. And it showed.

Anyway, they made a unification, as I think many people will remember. And the Easterners expected to have the jobs, and the job security, and the incomes, and they never got it. Because for the West, all that Eastern Europe, Eastern Germany represented, was cheap labor. Those people had been getting much lower wages. They were used to living in that way, with low individual wages, partly because they got a lot of collective consumption. The socialist government there provided education and health care and subsidized transport and all of that. And so these Eastern folks were used to low individual wages. And so the capitalists of the West said, “Okay, great. We’ll either put a factory in East Germany, paying low wages, or you can come here and we’ll pay you low wages if you migrate into the West.”

Long story short, you deeply betrayed your fellow Germans. Remember, the East Germans speak the same language, have the same ancient culture, etc. Americans don’t know, but Berlin, the capital, was in East Germany. It used to be the capital divided, but Westerners had to drive through East Germany to get to Berlin because of where it’s located. All right. So this anger and this bitterness turned to the political establishment in Germany naively, thinking that they could appeal either to the Christian Democrats or to the socialists to get what they had been led to expect they would get. But they couldn’t get it. Neither the socialists nor the Christians were prepared to do anything like what would have had to be done to deliver on the promise. And so…

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Yeah, we’ve lost Richard. Michael.

 

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NIMA ALKHORSHID: Hi everybody, today is Thursday, February 20, 2025, and our friends Richard Wolff and Michael Hudson are back with us. Welcome back.

RICHARD WOLFF: Glad to be here.

NIMA ALKHORSHID: Let’s get started, Michael, with your recent article about the price of gold and how the United States is trying to manage that. What’s your point in that article?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the point is that the demand for gold has been running way ahead of supply for the last 15 years, and yet the prices remained remarkably quiet. There was a range of gold from $1,400 to $1,600 an ounce maybe 10 years ago, and then there was another range from $1,800 to $2,000 an ounce until just a year or two ago, and all of a sudden, finally, the prices began to rise. There are notes in the newspapers about England bullion dealers sending enormous plane loads of gold to the United States. So, needless to say, how do you explain what’s happening?

So, just a half hour before this show began, I got a phone call from one of the big cable networks wanting me to go on their show and to explain why gold today hit a new price. And I’m talking to you, not them. So, here’s what the situation is.

The United States wants to keep the dollar as the main international reserve. And the one thing that frightened American policymakers was that other countries would begin to de-dollarize by increasing the proportion of gold in their foreign exchange reserves. China, way up. Russia, way up.

About six years ago, Germany said, “You know that gold that we moved to you in the 1950s to keep in the Federal Reserve’s safety? Could you send that physical gold back to us? You know, we’re noticing that you’re grabbing the gold supplies of Venezuelan countries you don’t like. We’d just like to have the gold here.” And the United States said, “Well, you know, we really can’t send it right now. How about in six years?” Which is right about now. They still haven’t sent the gold.

And the question is, is there any gold left in Fort Knox? And why not? How can it be that the price of gold has been held down by the U.S. Treasury manipulating the price?

And it turns out that we can all now see that the price of gold is not like the price of copper or wheat. It’s not based on supply and demand. It’s all based on the Treasury manipulating the price of gold. And it does it in two ways. One is a very technical way that I won’t go in. It sells gold short. In other words, it sells. Well, the price may be $2,900 now, but we’ll sell it to you in three months’ time for $2,800 an ounce. Well, that means that nobody’s going to buy more gold now if you know you can buy it at $2,800 an ounce in three months. So, they keep holding the price down.

And the other way, for the last 15 or 20 years, the United States Treasury, the Bank of England, and other central banks have made money leasing their gold to gold bullion dealers. In other words, it’s like Avis leasing a car to somebody to drive. And the U.S. will lease to a bullion dealers for a given price. Yes, we’ll lease you this gold. Here’s the current price of gold. You’ll pay us a premium for renting this gold. And then the bullion dealers will meet the supply of gold from hoarders, whether they’re jewelry makers, whether they’re investors, whether they’re hedge funds.

And this has worked pretty much ever since the United States went off gold in 1971. But what’s happened is that this making money by leasing the gold to other countries all of a sudden means that there’s no gold here. The United States has a claim on bullion dealers to say, well, send us back the gold that we’ve leased to you. Now, it’s like Avis saying, you’ve rented our car, you know, for two weeks. Now, give us back the car.

But the bullion dealers have sold most of the gold. And so, they’ll say, well, we’ll give you the money for the gold, but we don’t have the gold. So, it looks like all of a sudden, the United States, I won’t say a paper tiger, what do you call it, a gold lamé tiger? It seems that the United States doesn’t have the gold in its possession that it’s reported.

And so, a few days ago, Mr. Musk said, we’ve been trying to find out to do an audit to see how much gold is there in the Federal Reserve in New York City that acts to hold foreign gold holdings in Fort Knox.

Well, you have some of the monetary conservatives in Congress, like Senator Paul saying, I want to go to Fort Knox. And look, let me see whether there’s anything in the vaults. They wouldn’t let him in. And he said, look, I’m a senator. I’m a Congress. You know, you have to let Congress. We have to get in. The answer was, this is national security. Congress can’t know about how much gold we have or have not got there.

So now, you have Mr. Musk saying, we’re going to do an audit of the Fed, and we’re going to do an audit of the Federal Reserve, Fort Knox. You’ve got to let us in. And the United States panicked, and it’s been, the speculation is now, the gold price is going up because the United States can no longer have the gold to keep it down. And in fact, the United States is trying to buy it all back to put back in Fort Knox so that people will think, gee, it’s not— the U.S. does have the gold after all.

So all of a sudden, you’re seeing the links to which the American government went to say, there is no alternative to the U.S. dollar. Don’t buy gold. It’s not going up. You can make much more money investing in treasury securities where we pay interest. Gold doesn’t pay an interest. All of a sudden, the motivation for buying gold that has existed ever since 1971 has sort of broken out.

And everyone says, okay, now as demand for gold is going up, that means the price of gold is going to go up. When demand exceeds supply, that’s what’s happened. And as gold goes up, other countries, not only Russia and China, but all over Europe, all over the world are going to say, we can make much more money holding gold in our reserves than holding U.S. treasury bills or securities in our reserves. So let’s sell our U.S. treasury claims and buy gold.

Well, if that happens, you can imagine the de-dollarization of the world. And there goes the whole linchpin of American financial control of the world economy. There goes the central role of the U.S. dollar. All of a sudden, it’s given up not only to gold, but it’s been giving it up to foreign currencies, the countries trading in each other’s currency, like China and Russia trading in their own domestic currencies for their imports and exports.

So you’re having a whole unraveling of the fiction that somehow there is no alternative to the treasury securities that foreign governments hold in their foreign exchange reserves that is a better buy than U.S. treasuries. All of a sudden, yes, there is a better buy. It’s gold. And so the gold bugs are all jumping on this.

And we’re all waiting to see whether Mr. Musk and his investigatory team gets to go into Fort Knox and the Fed and say, is there really gold there? What happened to it? And you mean that there hasn’t been a free market in gold all these years? Can you explain to us what’s behind U.S. policy?

And essentially, it’ll be the dynamic of America having the exorbitant privilege of being able to pay for all of its military spending abroad, its Cold War, its deindustrialization, simply by printing IOUs that end up in foreign central banks. And finally, they have an alternative just to say, we’re going to buy more and more IOUs. When, if you do the basic accounting, the United States owes foreign governments so much money, while it’s running a balance of payments deficit, mainly because of the war, that there’s no way it can ever pay the other countries the money that it owes them in dollars for the dollars they hold in their reserves.

 

Why has the price of gold been increasing so fast, breaking records? Economist Michael Hudson explains the politics of the precious metal, and the dynamics of the US dollar system.

Video Link

Transcript

(Introduction)

BEN NORTON: The price of gold has been skyrocketing. Since 2018, the price of gold has nearly tripled. This has caused a big debate around the world about why this is happening. There are, of course, several different factors.

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One of them is that central banks around the world have been buying more and more gold, especially with the threat of sanctions from the United States. One-third of all countries on Earth are under US sanctions, including 60% of low-income countries.

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The war in Ukraine has only accelerated this, as the US and the EU seized $300 billion and euros worth of assets held by Russia’s central bank. This has scared many other countries’ central banks, which fear that they could be next to have their assets seized by the West.

Gold is being seen as an alternative to dollar- or euro-denominated assets.

But it’s not just central banks. There’s also a lot of private demand, especially as there was a lot of inflation coming out of the Covid pandemic.

What’s interesting is that, typically, gold is seen as an inflation hedge. And when inflation increases, the price of gold tends to increase. But in the past two years, inflation has come down, yet the price of gold has continued to skyrocket.

So why is this happening?

Well, today I had the privilege of being joined by the award-winning economist Michael Hudson, and he explained why the price of gold continues to rise, and what the implications could be for the entire global economy, and the politics of gold — because, as Michael often stresses, you cannot separate economics from politics.

So here are a few highlights of Michael Hudson, and then we’ll go straight to the interview.


(Highlights)

MICHAEL HUDSON: Demand for gold, as I said, has been far outstripping the supply for many, many years now. And as we’re taught in Economics 101 textbooks, when demand outstrip supply, prices go up.

But that hasn’t been happening with the gold price until just the last few months. And the question is, why hasn’t it happened?

Well, the obvious answer is that the gold market isn’t like regular commodity markets.

So the United States has sought to keep gold prices down ever since it was revalued in 1971… The aim of this was political: to keep the world viewing the US dollar, meaning essentially US Treasury securities, as the most secure form of their international reserves.

It’s secure in the sense that, unlike other countries, the United States can simply print the dollars. It can’t go bankrupt.

People like to say gold is an inflation hedge. But you could say eggs are an inflation hedge, or pork is an inflation hedge.

The point is, the real problem is the US balance of payments deficit pumping dollars into the world.

You’ll pay dollars to an exporter, from China or Germany — when there was still a German industry — and they turn the dollars over to their central bank, and the central bank would then say, “What are we going to do with these dollars? If we don’t send them back to the United States, our currency is going to go up against the dollar, and that is going to make our exports less competitive. So we have to keep our currency, our exchange rate, down; and we do that by buying Treasury securities”.

It has always been political. And the newspapers don’t want to talk about politics, because if they talked about politics, all of a sudden people would realize the Western political and economic system cannot last in the way that it’s structured now.

When you talk about politics, you realize the game is over for the West.


(Full interview)

BEN NORTON: Hi, Michael. It’s always a real pleasure having you. The last time we had a discussion, we analyzed the effects of Donald Trump’s tariffs, or his threat of tariffs. And you warned that it could cause a global financial crisis, as countries won’t be able to get the dollars they need to pay off their dollar-denominated debt.

After we had that conversation, you raised some other points about the gold market that you wanted to talk about, and I thought there would be a great separate episode.

So why do you think we’ve seen this massive shift, the near tripling of the price of gold in the past seven years?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, we’ve been talking for many years now about how the international financial system works, and central bank reserves, and de-dollarization, and the split of the BRICS away from the West.

And that’s what my book Super Imperialism was about, how America was driven off the gold standard because of the balance of payments drain from the Vietnam War and for world military spending, up to 1971. The entire U.S. balance of payments deficit from the Korean War in 1950, all the way through the ‘50s, the ‘60s, and into the ‘70s was military spending.

The result was that the United States had, every month, to sell the accumulation of dollars that ended up in France, Germany, and other countries. The dollars spent in Vietnam that were exchanged for local currencies ended up in French banks, because Southeast Asia was a part of the French empire; and the French banks, sent these dollars to Paris, and General [Charles] de Gaulle would then cash in the dollars [for gold] every week.

Until 1971, every printed dollar — your dollar bills in your pocket — had to be backed, by law, 25% by gold. So we were watching the American gold supply go down, down, down to the gold cover.

Every week, on Friday morning, when the Federal Reserve gold report would come out on Wall Street in the mid ‘60s, we were all saying, “When is the breaking point going to come?”

Well, it came in August 1971. At that time, the US government thought, “This is terrible. We have controlled the whole world financial system ever since World War One, by holding gold, and that was what other countries used to have their monetary reserves. We have controlled other countries ability to run budget deficits, to fund their own economy with gold; now we don’t have it anymore”. And there was a lot of hand-wringing.

I wrote my book Super Imperialism, to say that this is not going to interfere with the American empire, because if countries, central banks, governments can’t buy gold, they have only one big alternative at that time, and that was to buy dollars.

And how do they buy dollars? They buy US Treasury bonds, Treasury notes, short-term Treasury securities. They put their money and hold it in the form of US debt.

As they got more and more dollars, they spent more and more money buying US debt. And that became an increasing way of how the United States funded its own budget deficits.

 

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Donald Trump’s tariffs could destabilize the global economy, warns economist Michael Hudson. US protectionist policies could cause financial crises, as many currencies depreciate and countries can’t earn the dollars needed to pay their foreign debts.

Transcript

(Introduction)

BEN NORTON: Donald Trump is threatening to impose tariffs on countries all around the world, including the top three trading partners of the United States: Canada, Mexico, and China.

DONALD TRUMP: The word “tariff” is the most beautiful word in the dictionary — more beautiful than “love”, more beautiful than “respect”. No, less beautiful than “religion”, no. Right? I don’t want to get into that argument. But the word “tariff” is the most beautiful word in the dictionary, remember that. It’s going to make our country, it’s going to make our country rich.

BEN NORTON: Now, Trump says he’s doing this because he wants to reduce the trade deficit that the US has with the rest of the world.

However, there’s a major contradiction in Donald Trump’s economic policy, because he also wants to maintain the US dollar as the global reserve currency.

And Trump has threatened other countries, especially countries in BRICS, that are trying to de-dollarize. Trump has said that if countries de-dollarize, he will put 100% tariffs on them.

DONALD TRUMP: We will keep the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. And it is currently under major siege. Many countries are leaving the dollar.

They’re not going to leave the dollar with me. I’ll say, “You leave the dollar, you’re not doing business with the United States, because we’re going to put 100% tariff on your goods”.

I’m very much a traditionalist. I like staying with the dollar. You know that from when I was there. Make the dollar the choice. I hate when countries go off the dollar. I would not allow countries to go off the dollar.

BEN NORTON: So what Trump’s trying to do is have his cake and eat it too, because this is a contradictory policy. Trump wants to reduce the US trade deficit, but he also wants to maintain the US dollar as the global reserve currency.

The problem is that if Trump wants other countries to continue using the US dollar in international trade and finance, the US has to run a deficit, so other countries can get access to those dollars. If Trump wants to use tariffs to reduce the US trade deficit, it means that other countries will not be able to get the dollars that they need in order to use the dollar in international trade and finance.

So these very contradictory policies that Trump is trying to maintain could have severe repercussions on the global economy. And today, I had the pleasure of speaking with the award-winning economist Michael Hudson, who has warned that if Trump imposes high tariffs on countries like, for instance, Canada and Mexico, their currencies will fall significantly against the US dollar, which will mean that they will not be able to pay off the debt that these countries have denominated in US dollars.

This could cause a global debt crisis, as countries around the world can’t get the dollars they need to pay off their debts.

Here are a few highlights from my discussion with the economist Michael Hudson. And after I will go straight to the interview.

MICHAEL HUDSON: To Trump, a win-win is a loss, because a win-win means some other country also wins, not only you, the United States. And if some other country also wins, that means the United States has not grabbed everything there is to grab, and Trump wants to grab everything that is available, the entire economic surplus.

Here, again, you have one of the features that makes the United States an exceptional country. And Trump is making use of that exceptional characteristic of the United States.

The United States can do what no other country does. It can it can threaten to hurt other countries if they don’t do what the United States wants. It can bomb them. It can engage in regime change, through the National Endowment for Democracy Democracy and USAID.

It can hurt other countries. Other countries don’t have a foreign policy anything like that.

What Trump realizes is normally you don’t need military force to subjugate and colonize another economy. You can use financial warfare, and you can use trade warfare, and that’s “peaceful”.

You don’t need, to mobilize American troops to invade a country. Vietnam showed you can’t do that anymore.

You can simply use trade and financial sanctions. That’s what he’s trying to do.

That’s America’s strong point. It’s not that it’s going to use the hydrogen bomb. It can wreck world trade, wreck world finance, and try to force the kind of economic relationship that Trump and the deep state wants.

And Trump has made it clear that America has to be the winner in any kind of trade agreement that it makes with any other country.

If American companies are unable to export to China, then their profits will be down, and they will lack the money to engage in the research and development they need to keep up with the technology that the rest of the world is doing.

And so the result is that Trump’s policy is deliciously self-defeating for US policy. It will mean inflation. It won’t mean more industrialization.

(Full interview)

BEN NORTON: Michael, it’s a real pleasure having you today. Thanks for joining us.

I wanted to ask you about an article that you recently published warning about the impact that Trump’s tariffs could have on the global economy.

The basic point you make is that the US designed the global financial system in a way in which the US dollar is at the center, and other countries need to get access to dollars to pay off their dollar-denominated debt, and to pay for imports.

Yet, in order for this system to work, the US has to run a deficit with the rest of the world, a current account deficit, so other countries can get those dollars.

But Trump wants to disrupt this. He says he wants to tariff other countries to reduce the US trade deficit, which means that other countries won’t be able to get the dollars they need to pay off their debt and to pay for imports.

Now, this could be good news, if you actually wanted to end the US dollar’s role as the global reserve currency. But then Trump also is threatening countries that de-dollarize, threatening 100% tariffs on BRICS countries.

As you put it in your article, he has two completely contradictory ideas in his head.

At the same time, you warn that this could cause a financial crisis. So can you explain your argument and why you’re concerned?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, people usually think of the dollar as being used for international trade, but the vast use of dollars is on capital account, for financial transactions. And the great majority of international debts, owned by governments to other governments and to bondholders, is denominated in US dollars. That’s quite different from using the dollars.

By denominating them in dollars, that means that you have to use your domestic currency to buy dollars. And if the dollar goes up in price relative to other currencies, if it appreciates, then you use much more of your domestic currency to spend. And that requires governments to essentially cut back their spending on [things] other than debt service.

For instance, the Canadian dollar is gone way down against the US dollar. So Canadians have to spend much more money in their currency to pay their dollar debts.

 
Michael Hudson
About Michael Hudson

Michael Hudson is President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City and author of The Bubble and Beyond (2012), Super-Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire (1968 & 2003), Trade, Development and Foreign Debt (1992 & 2009) and of The Myth of Aid (1971).

ISLET engages in research regarding domestic and international finance, national income and balance-sheet accounting with regard to real estate, and the economic history of the ancient Near East.

Michael acts as an economic advisor to governments worldwide including Iceland, Latvia and China on finance and tax law.