Iraq is reducing its reliance on Iranian gas (40% of its needs) by boosting domestic production. Major projects with TotalEnergies, GE Vernova, Siemens, and others aim to capture flared gas, build power plants, modernize grids, and expand solar capacity. Iraq’s strategy seeks energy independence while navigating U.S.-Iran tensions, sanctions risks, and internal corruption. Iraq is...
Read MoreMeta killed stories, throttled conservatives, and suppressed voter information in 2020 — all while quietly building CCP-approved censorship tools. Mark Zuckerberg appeared on “The Joe Rogan Experience” in January sporting a new hairstyle and a gold chain — an image makeover that began with the billionaire tech mogul sparring with MMA fighters in 2023. He...
Read MoreRelations between Algeria and France have nosedived lately, due to disagreement over autonomy for the Western Sahara, immigration tensions, a series of diplomatic incidents, and Algeria’s historic grievances over the war of independence and French nuclear testing on Algerian territory. The potential unravelling of relations between France and Algeria will create opportunities for others to...
Read MoreIt is said, “each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way,” and so it is with France and Algeria. Relations between France and Algeria have recently deteriorated due to a combination of diplomatic disputes, immigration policies, and historical grievances. France’s 132-year rule of Algeria, ending in 1962 after an eight-year war of independence, still...
Read MoreOn 1 March 2025, after his first Cabinet meeting, U.S. President Donald Trump said the Taliban should return the equipment the U.S. abandoned in Afghanistan as it withdrew in August 2021. In February 2025, the Taliban replied the abandoned weapons were “spoils of war” and would be used against attempts to seize them. Washington may...
Read MoreAxios recently reported that Israel’s Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer “lashed out” at U.S. hostage envoy Adam Boehler in a “tense” phone call for negotiating with terror group Hamas for the return of a kidnapped U.S. citizen. In February, the U.S. informed Israel of its intent, Israel advised against it, but the U.S. went ahead...
Read MoreIraq’s Development Road aims to reduce dependence on oil by turning the country into a key trade corridor between Asia and Europe. The project involves Türkiye, Qatar, and the UAE, but faces resistance from Iran, Kuwait, and the U.S. The project faces internal challenges like corruption, security concerns, and Kurdistan’s limited participation. In May 2023,...
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Trump's proposal to deport Gazans to Jordan and Egypt has been widely condemned. The plan risks alienating Arab American voters, strengthening anti-U.S. sentiment in the Middle East, and reducing Washington’s credibility. The proposal could undermine future cooperation on regional security. U.S. President Donald Trump recently called the Gaza Strip a “demolition site,” and said the...
Read MoreThe economic and geopolitical pressure on Iran is set to increase in 2025, with renewed U.S. sanctions, nuclear tensions, and the risk of conflict with Israel and the U.S. Despite tensions, Iran and Trump may negotiate a new deal, as both sides have signaled openness to diplomacy. Hardliners in the U.S. and Israel are pushing...
Read MoreMusk’s business ties, particularly with China and his near-monopoly in US space launches through SpaceX, could...
President Donald Trump is clearly benefiting from Elon Musk’s enthusiastic support, with Musk’s leadership role as co-chair of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) giving him direct influence over US policy. But Musk’s growing influence now seems to extend into shaping Trump’s defense policy, raising serious national security concerns. Trump has already appointed Jared Isaacman,...
Read MoreCentral Asia navigates complex relations among major powers. Water scarcity, climate change, and governance challenges threaten agriculture and stability. The region is looking to make the most out of Western initiatives while safeguarding relations with Beijing. In 2024 Central Asia weathered the geopolitical competition between the Russia, China, and the United States, as the major...
Read MoreIraq is a developing democracy, but its location — between Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Syria — means that it always faces pressure from outside its borders. The list of challenges it faced in 2024 ranged from ongoing security threats, including attacks on U.S. military bases by armed groups, political shifts and discussions about the...
Read MoreThe year just ended was a tumultuous one for Afghanistan, marked by many significant events that will continue to challenge the country in 2025. ISIS-Khorasan (ISIS-K) carried out at least 19 terrorist attacks, targeting Hazara and Shia civilians, Sufi adherents, foreign nationals and Taliban officials. One notable incident was the assassination of Khalil Rahman Haqqani,...
Read MoreThe shame of American military assistance in Iraq and Afghanistan is that while our troops and their local allies were fighting bravely, the leaders of our so-called allies were getting rich. We have seen something even worse in Ukraine: While Ukrainian military personnel and civilians fight valiantly in a fierce contest for independence, Ukrainian leaders...
Read MoreDonald Trump is back, and so is the “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran to “drastically throttle” Tehran’s oil sales. But 2025 is not 2018. Although Iran was on the ropes then, things are different now. America’s support for Israel’s campaigns against the Palestinian and Lebanese people has eroded local support for U.S. moves, as many...
Read MoreFrom energy resources to economic growth, the region holds key assets for US foreign policy, trade, and security interests When President-elect Donald Trump starts his second term January 20, he will face a full foreign policy agenda, with wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, Taiwan tensions, and looming trade disputes with China, Mexico, and...
Read MoreThe potential return of Donald Trump and the "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran could reshape U.S.-Iran relations, but regional dynamics have shifted since 2018. Iran has increased its economic resilience through stronger alliances with China and Russia, expanded oil exports, and strategic infrastructure projects. Both sides face an opportunity to negotiate a pragmatic deal focused...
Read MoreIsrael recently attacked banks in Lebanon it alleges are part of the financial network that supports Iran-backed terror group Hezbollah (a member of the Lebanese government). While Israel is great at the blowing-up aspect of fighting Hezbollah’s financial network, a bank is just a building, a mailing address — not “the network.” The U.S. government...
Read MoreIraq’s leaders have a lot on their minds, stuck between Israel and Iran as the two countries veer closer to open conflict. Washington generally has a permissive attitude to whatever Israel wants to do, so if the attackers cross Iraq the assumption will be that the Americans approved, or did not disapprove, of the attack...
Read MorePresident Zelensky’s ambassador to the United States caused a scandal with Republican lawmakers during his recent visit to Pennsylvania. She set up a visit to the Scranton Army Ammunition Plant, where much-needed 155mm artillery rounds are made. The visit turned into a clumsy attempt to help Democrats garner votes in this important state. Republicans expressed...
Read MoreThe Israeli newspaper Haaretz recently declared, “Israel is trapping Iran and America.” If that is true, perhaps the U.S. and Iran should cooperate to extricate themselves from that trap. In the wake of the most recent exchange of fire between Israel and Iran, the region is on the cusp of more violence and instability, but...
Read MoreAfghanistan’s ruling Taliban just announced the country will re-open its embassy in Muscat, Oman. This follows the United Arab Emirates’ acceptance of the credentials of the Afghan ambassador in August. And in January, Chinese leader Xi Jinping personally accepted the credentials of the Afghan ambassador to Beijing. (China’s new ambassador to Afghanistan was officially received...
Read MoreAhmad Massoud, the leader of the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan, recently declared he will defeat the Taliban “no matter the odds.” For Massoud to mount a military threat to the Taliban, he would need the cooperation of the Central Asian republics, Iran or Pakistan (among others) to do the job. However, Afghanistan’s neighbors have...
Read MoreAfghanistan and Uzbekistan strengthen trade ties with new agreements, including the Termez International Trade Center and the UAP Railway Project. Trade between Afghanistan and its neighbors, including Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan, is growing rapidly, with projects like the TAPI Gas Pipeline and Trans-Afghan Corridor. Potential challenges include regional instability, U.S. sanctions, and internal Afghan political...
Read MoreChina is frustrated with Pakistan's inability to protect Chinese workers on the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which has slowed progress due to violence and instability. Pakistan has launched an anti-terrorism campaign targeting the Pakistani Taliban (TTP), but tensions with Afghanistan complicate efforts to secure the region. Central Asia is developing alternative trade routes, like the...
Read MoreIt is encouraging to see European nations stepping up to arm Ukraine, but their flagship effort at a coordinated strategy is faltering badly. According to a report released Monday by the Czech Senate, the Czech Munitions Initiative—a key component of this strategy—is falling short of its goals. The Czech Munitions Initiative was conceived to leverage...
Read MoreFollowing the sudden death of Iran’s president, Ibrahim Raisi, the reformist politician Masoud Pezeshkian won the snap election to replace the hard-liner, a possible successor to supreme leader Ali Khamenei. Pezeshkian campaigned on a program of change, but not changing the system. He supports negotiating a nuclear deal with the U.S. and regularly criticized Iran’s...
Read MoreGen. Daniel Hokanson, outgoing chief of the National Guard Bureau, recently told senators that assigning troops to the southern border has “no military training value” and was detrimental to military readiness. That attitude among four-star officers is not new: In 2019, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Gen. Robert Neller, declared his service was facing “rapidly accelerating...
Read MoreThe recent news that the U.S. Air Force may suspend its sixth generation Next-Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program fighter aircraft system due to “intensifying budget pressures” is concerning at a time when America is facing building challenges from the People’s Republic of China. From implementing everything from drones to stealth aircraft, America has remained at...
Read MoreA delegation from Uzbekistan visited Washington, D.C. to advocate for the repeal of the Jackson-Vanik amendment and establish normal trade relations with the U.S. U.S. legislation is being introduced to grant permanent normal trade relations status to Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan. The U.S. has been less proactive in Central Asia compared to China and Russia,...
Read More“You’ve come a long way, baby” — but not far enough, according to Democrats in the U.S. Congress. Senate Republicans were angered by the Democrats’ proposed amendment to the annual National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) last week that would require women 18-26 years of age be automatically enrolled in the Selective Service System (commonly known...
Read MoreThe Middle Corridor is a multimodal transport corridor connecting China to Europe. Europe’s limited prospects are opposed to Asia which will see an increasing share of global GDP rising from about 45% today to around 58% by 2030. The republics will use the Middle Corridor to increase trade with Europe, but can’t ignore their neighbors...
Read MoreIf you are a foreign official visiting Prague, the capital of the Czech Republic, Prime Minister Petr Fiala will undoubtedly urge you to praise and contribute to his munition’s initiative. While many praise it, few are willing to back their words with financial support, and perhaps for good reason. The controversy began when President Petr...
Read MoreThat Gen Z Americans have unique foreign policy views isn’t news, but the recent student-led protests over the Israel-Hamas war has highlighted the generational differences in this country and may portend a future political distancing of the U.S. from its long-time client in Tel Aviv. Some of the indicators may be concerning. Aside from displaying...
Read MoreThroughout the U.S. effort to support war-torn Ukraine, Republican politicians asked where the money was going in Ukraine, and who was profiting from it. President Joe Biden and the Democrats accused anyone who raised questions about the aid package of siding with Russia. In a joint op-ed, U.S. Senators Kyrsten Sinema and John Kennedy raised...
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The good news is the United States is calling for diplomacy in the Middle East. The bad news it is because it was bested by Yemen’s rebel Houthis. U.S. Special Envoy to Yemen, Tim Lenderking, bowed to the obvious and admitted, “We favor a diplomatic solution, we know there is no military solution.” Lenderking was...
Read MoreOn April 22, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, is scheduled for a state visit to Pakistan. Their number one topic probably won’t be Hamas or the Houthis, but rather a pipeline. The Iran-Pakistan natural gas pipeline was conceived in 1950, and in 2010 — despite U.S. opposition — the countries concluded a 25-year Gas Sale and...
Read MorePrime Minister Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani is in Washington next week with both sides hoping to expand they’re economic...
Twenty-one years ago, the U.S. and its allies invaded Iraq in the erroneous belief that the country possessed weapons of mass destruction and was allied with al-Qaida, the terror group responsible for the 9/11 attacks. The U.S. created an occupation authority, but failed to restore order and helped spawn the insurgency that bedeviled it by...
Read MoreThough Iran is famous (or infamous) for its growing suite of weapons, recently the Islamic Republic has been making progress in civil aerospace. Iran Observer recently reported that Iran mastered the single crystal turbine blade technology of the CFM56-5B series aircraft engine, widely used in many Boeing and Airbus aircraft. Single-crystal technology, which is highly...
Read MoreDavid Cameron, the United Kingdom’s foreign secretary, recently announced the UK may recognize a Palestinian state before the Palestinians and Israelis finalize a peace deal, but that “no such move could come while Hamas remains in Gaza.” At the same time, the United States is reviewing options to recognize a Palestinian state after the war...
Read MoreKabul’s key asset is its location but it needs to make a positive contribution to the region by being a good neighbor. The best way forward for Kabul is to keep the Islamic State et al. boxed in, which may require intelligence sharing and cooperation with the neighbors and the U.S. to secure the country...
Read MoreOn Feb. 18 and 19, United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres convened a meeting in Doha, Qatar, to discuss the “evolving situation” in Afghanistan and future engagement with the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan. The Taliban declined an invitation to the meeting after the U.N. refused their conditions, including recognizing the Taliban as the legitimate government of...
Read MoreIn January 2024, Chinese president Xi Jinping accepted the credentials of the ambassador of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (the Taliban) to China. And in September 2023 China was the first country to name a new ambassador to the Islamic Emirate since August 2021. Today, over a dozen countries maintain diplomatic representation in Kabul, though...
Read MoreWhile the U.S., Russia and Europe are trying to quell (or aggravate) crises simultaneously in Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Israel/Gaza, the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea/Yemen, Uzbekistan and China have quietly elevated their partnership. Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev made a state visit to China on Jan. 23-25, visiting Beijing and Shenzen. While there he met...
Read MoreOn Jan. 4, 2024, the U.S. assassinated Mushtaq Jawad Kazim al-Jawari, a commander in an Iran-linked Iraqi militia. The Pentagon press release called the militia a “terrorist group” and claimed the strike was in “self-defense.” But it neglected to mention the militia was also part of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), an Iraqi government body...
Read MoreIsrael’s counterattack on the Gaza Strip, in retaliation for the Oct. 7 attack by the Islamic Resistance Movement (“Hamas”), has caused allegedly 20,000 deaths among Palestinian civilians. Every country in the Muslim world has seen popular rejection of Israel’s assault, and the Central Asian republics are no exception. The Central Asian people identify with their...
Read MoreThe Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute recently released the results of the 2023 Reagan National Defense Survey. The survey found that Americans support increased spending for a strong national defense, engagement with the world, and strong support for Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan. However, in may key areas, the preferences of young Americans (under 30...
Read MoreHomeland Security Committee Chairman Rep. Mark Green (R-Tenn.) recently sent a letter to the Department of Homeland Security asking for it to take data security and hacking attempts by America’s enemies more seriously. Green also wrote to the Government Accountability Office (GAO), asking it to investigate the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), especially USA Staffing...
Read MoreOsama bin Laden may be in Hell, but he could be having the last laugh. TikTokers recently discovered Osama bin Laden’s “Letter to America” which was written in 2002 and residing online in plain sight. The letter, allegedly written by bin Laden’s #2, the late Ayman al-Zawahiri, was al-Qaeda’s justification for attacking America on 11...
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The Danger of Working with Religious-inspired Proxies
It seemed like a good idea at the time, they said in Jerusalem on 8 October 2023. Israel’s national security leaders were caught flat-footed by the 7 October attack by Hamas launched from the Gaza Strip, and you’d have to feel sorry for the poor saps if you were willing to overlook their hubris and...
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